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  • dilber
    07-20 05:37 AM
    Here you go - conversion should not impact this as the number of LC approvals remains the same:

    Here are all the LC approvals for India in the last seven years.

    Year, Total LC Approved, Total India
    2007 85112 24573
    2006 79782 22298
    2005 6133 1350
    2004 43582 No Info
    2003 62912 No Info
    2002 79784 No Info
    2001 77921 No Info
    2000 70204 No Info

    Lets assume about 25% of pre-PERM LCs are India based on post-PERM data. Thus for fiscal 2004 (Oct 2003 thru Sep 2004) the total LC number is 43,852. Assume 25% of that to be India based on PERM data. That gives about 11,000 India LCs in 2004 alone (All EB categories combined). If you assume an average of 2.5 dependents then the number of visas required for all India EB categories for 2004 is 27,500 (11,000*2.5). The regular quota for EB2 and EB3 combined is only about 9,800. That means 17,700 visas have to come from somewhere. I dont think those many visas are remaining for this year. Be prepared to see FIFO thrown under the bus and approvals with PDs that are all over the place. Please critique this analysis without piling on. Thoughts?

    EB2 has been on or Apr 2004 for a long time so all the ones before should have got the GC or at least most would have when we are calculation numbers for calculating retrogation We have to consider the numbers in in a particular category 11000 number as you say includes all the EB categories you have to discount out the EB1's because they have got their GCs long back. EB3 will also have to cut out form the calculation because they are not being counted. even if you consider 40% of these to be EB2 (a conservative estimate) then total GC needed including the dependents will be closer to 11000 (Total not just primary) and as Vdlrao and others have shown there should be more than this number available in this fiscal year alone. So I will have to agree with them that the numbers will go back but not all the way to Apr 2004 It should easily come in 2005 range may even come to 2006 since there were very few cases applied during 2005. Also can some one let me know if during 2005 when perm was instigated was regular labor processing also going on or was it completed stopped during that time.

    Also conversations will affect this because people converting from EB3 to EB2 will make sure that they port their priority dates and hence if say all the EB3 people from 2003 convert to EB2 and successfully port their dates it will definitely push the dates south of 2003. Did I make sense???





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  • ak27
    01-22 11:01 AM
    Hello Indirant,

    Would you able to pick couple of initiatives mentioned on my post...

    and let me know your emailid, I will also add you to our google group





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  • abhijitp
    08-03 08:26 PM
    abhijitp,
    Thanks for the update and good to know that we will get an RFE and not a rejection for our EVL.
    But on (2), what if we already have an A# from our approved I-140? Is there any other way to know that our application has been accepted??
    Actually receiving the I-485 RN implies no rejection, only RFE, that is what the service representative told me about.





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  • rajuram
    12-11 10:25 PM
    I got letters with receipt numbers for my wife and I.



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  • Indirant
    02-20 09:12 PM
    Hi Guys when are you meeting in Durga temple Let me know I can come with some of my friends
    Sekar





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  • Refugee_New
    02-21 11:03 AM
    My co-worker tried that and now has 3 RFE's to respond to.
    Don't know the details but mostly it looks like a scam since why did one file Eb3 in first place and how can he add more exp. while Eb3 is pending as a factor for EB2? He is respondign since OCT. but they just keep asking for more details and they have first question for 140/PERM asking - DID YOU EVER HAD ANOTHER LABOR certification besides this one?
    Be very careful-

    This is what happend in my case. I converted my EB3 PD to EB2 PD.

    My EB3 PD was 02/2002. LC Approved in Oct 2005. I-140 approved in 04/2006

    I lost my job and joined another company. Applied PERM with MS degree. Got approved in Jan 2007. Then applied I-140 using PP, requesting to recapture older PD.

    My I-140 was approved within 3 days without any trouble. Now my PD is 02/2002, EB2

    So if you have a right reason then porting PD shouldn't be a problem.



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  • CHHAYA
    08-16 09:07 PM
    Hi Guys,

    I got an LUD on 8/14 on mine and my wifes I485s and also on the first EADs filed along with the 485. Anything cooking? I did change my employer in Feb 2010 and yet to file AC21. If any one had similar LUDs please post.

    Thanks

    I see LUD on 7/10/10 on mine EAD which was filed online in 08. But no LUD on 485 or last EAD which was filed in 09.





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  • snathan
    04-03 11:57 PM
    tens of people who come out and attack them on why they need money all the time. But they still go ahead and do it. The reason being for every 10 who ridicule the idea, there are 20 who support it.
    I really admire the perseverance the core shows in moving forward.

    If everything seems to be tied to donations, this is because everything needs money. You know ,keeping up this website needs money. Lobbying needs a lot of money. The other day, some one pulled the info from a public website and said 500,000$ have been already spent on lobbying. I am sure more than 90% is probably contributed y less than 5% of the members. I am not one of those 5% even remotely.

    Ignore teli and Sanju. You donot need their express approval to move forward. You know why they pick on you ? Because tyou just come and expect to be welcomed as heroes for any idea you have. You need to earn those stripes, then people will follow you.
    Tak one Idea. Do something with it. YOu may not get a positive result in the end , but your effort will be appreciated and people will be more receptive to your next idea.

    Well said...every now and then some one will pop up with some questions and attack on IV and core... Typically it used to be like this

    1. Coming up one proposal with no proper plan
    2. Attack on core and asking what the core is doing all these days...?
    3. What is preventing core from doing this and that...?

    Dont you guys understand that core members also volunteer, they do have their full time job and family. If you believe in something you need to lead the effort. You can not expect others to work and execute your half baked ideas. Come up proper plan and convince others. Otherwise actively take part in IV issues, join state chapter. Contribute more time if you can not contribute money. Build your reputation and others will follow you.

    See this Guy who op-ed this thread...once in a week/two he comes here for time pass. He is questioning everyone and advocating to contribute for the recapture though he is not even contributing a penny so far. Dont you think its funny.



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  • arupkumarsaha
    07-28 10:54 AM
    its amrit..drink of the gods...so its befitting.
    What is next ?
    Lord Ganesha on the ad of a cathouse called "Apsaras" , that also befits the taste of gods !

    Let me also add that am so fat that people had nicknamed me "ganesh" and I raise objections at every possible reasons whenever the "ganesh" sysmbol is propley misused (like my nickname :-) .

    cheers,
    Arup





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  • Jaime
    09-10 12:15 PM
    You have contributed 1000s of dollars to Social Security and if you don't fight for it, anti-immigrants will kick you out of the U.S. by frustrating you to the limit, and your Social Security money will go to fund Lou Dobb's retirement and that of others, except yours!



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  • newuser
    04-21 07:46 PM
    Could someone post the meeting notes.





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  • nojoke
    09-18 10:54 PM
    Reading the posts about the economy has just shown me how ignorant many of the IV members are.

    The economy is just going through it's ~10-year cycle. While it is a concern, it is NOT the end of the world. It just strenghtens USA's position in the world. Once again, it has proved that "if USA sneezes, the world catches the cold". The 10-years economic cycle follows a kind of Darwin's Law of the Fittest. The firms that are bubbled up get washed away, the economy cleans up and rebounds back. The 1990s saw it, the year ~2001 saw it with the dot.com burst and ~2009-2010 is seeing it with the mortgage burst.

    While it is each one's perogative as to what you want to invest into (good time to buy stocks, or buy gold), another thing to understand is FDIC does NOT insure just 100K per account in each bank. There are multiple ways to increase this insurance to over $2 million in the same bank by opening different type of accounts or having different beneficiaries. Consult your bank for details.

    No amount of govt. intervention can change the economy. It has it's own mind and will take it's own course.

    There is no need to panic, pack and run.

    Let the economy go through it's colon flush.

    Everybody understands that we get this ups and down. The cycles once in a while gets bad. Very bad. We had great depression. This could be a great depression for the financial market. Lehman, which has survived 150 years and many economic cycles closed 2 days ago. So did Bear strerns fold. The dotcom bubble is what - 100 billion max? 200 billion? Here we are talking about trillion dollars.

    FDIC has only 50 billion. It can cover a big bank like washington mutual. Can it take another big bank? Wachovia?
    This time it is not going to strengthen US position. China is talking about creating a separate world currency and they are not happy with US currency. If china dumps, dollars, a lot of countries will follow.

    This is just financial institues. It will have ripple effect on rest of the economy.

    FDIC doesn't protect more than 100K if you open different accounts in the same bank. However joint accounts and beneficiary can get you protected for 200K.



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  • GCcomesoon
    03-06 11:33 AM
    Hi

    So what do we have coming in April bulletin ? I'm not discussing any predictions here but based on some information found on the web & in different forums , it looks like Eb2 might move ? Does anyone agree to the logic for this movement ? Is there any movement expected for EB3 - India , because with the Name check gone & some old cases getting approved , shouldn't the EB3 dates move forward ?

    Thanks
    GCcomesoon





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  • ArunAntonio
    11-21 08:36 PM
    - Is it possible to change your employer and port your PD after the I140 is
    approved?
    - I know that the Complete process of labour ect.. needs to be restarted but
    what if the previous I140/labour is revoked by the previous employer (Can
    the previous employer do that ?)
    - Can the above be done when the person is on their 8th year H1 extenstion?



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  • diptam
    06-30 06:57 PM
    Sounds like a plan - let us know what's the next step.

    I got little demoralized last evening but then worked from 11 thru 3 AM to double check everything and i mailed today by USPS Express Mail ( it should reach July 2nd )

    Thanks again for your leadership.

    Diptam





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  • alisa
    01-27 08:16 PM
    My simplistic model breaks down with this data.
    With these numbers, the ROW backlog for 2002 should have cleared by now, but it hasn't. The Indian backlog should clear in a few years.

    I guess, there is a reason why people don't model these things. The results are no better than pulling things outta thin air if there isn't sufficient data.......

    Maybe USCIS needs computers more than we need visa numbers......

    If there are any estimates on the number of applicants in the different years, we could try some math on it.....I had assumed 160K applicants for ROW in 2002, and from the numbers that andy provided, that backlog should have cleared in 2004.

    Unless we are missing something really really big, things should start moving forward in a year or two. (Especially after USCIS learns about the amazing new invention called a 'computer')

    As my lawyer says, in two to ten years, the PDs will be current.....

    alisa

    i hope that country caps are removed
    i also hope it's not at your expense :-)
    i don't see why people think these things are mutually exclusive
    we all want the best to happen- for ourselves- and as much as we can help it
    for everyone else too!!
    great work on putting the data together, hopefully we can develop some concise sound bites to present to affected people and to lawmakers.
    i do suggest that the final summary should show 3 examples

    China EB2 and EB3
    India EB2 and EB3
    ROW EB3

    this way everyone affected sees something about themselves



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  • xyz2005
    07-24 11:26 AM
    There is one guy I know of mentioned that his 485 package was returned after the July 2nd update.

    When did he get back the package?
    Does it have a rejection notice in it?

    I think these two key questions can throw more light on this. Can you enquire and post here for everybody's reference? We will really appreciate that.





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  • Macaca
    01-18 08:15 AM
    We sent out a newsletter last night and out of 8400 emails, we have nearly 250 bounced back.

    Emails like a@abc.com are obviously bogus emails.

    See, I can understand the reason for that, you dont want spam. But we send out newsletter less than 2-3 times a month. And we dont sell information.


    Send them PM and track them when they are logged.

    IV newsletter is NOT spam. It is VERY good cause for the recipient. You have to be more aggressive.





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  • 485Mbe4001
    09-11 11:58 AM
    wow..they resume discussions on sept 18th?

    Here is the info from NumbersUSA:

    Vote on Foreign-Worker Bills Postponed Amid Growing Opposition
    Updated Thursday, September 11, 2008, 10:00 AM


    The House Judiciary Committee yesterday postponed consideration of bills containing massive foreign worker increases (H.R. 5882 and H.R. 5924) after the committee's debate stalled during discussions on the armed forces amnesty bill (H.R. 6020). The committee is expected to resume consideration of all three bills on September 18





    pitha
    01-30 03:20 PM
    I believe it is also illegal to work before getting a social security number. When you are on H4 you dont have a social security number (you have an itin which is not good enough for working). You will not get a social security number unless you have work authorization (i797). H1 will start only after october 1, so you can apply for social security number only after October 1 (i.e if you have i 797), it will take you about 4 to 7 weeks to get ssn. You can work only after getting the ssn. Somebody correct me if i wrong here.

    One more thing about desi companies.

    When you go from H4 to H1 or F1 to H1, you are legally allowed to work for your sponsor only after H1 approval (I-797) comes, not after the receipt notice comes. When you transfer H1s from company A to company B, you can start working as soon as the receipt notice for transfer petition is received. That is the law.

    Now, since our dear desi employers are known to be greedy and also known to be comfortable in bending, breaking or ignoring the law, once they file for your H4 to H1 transfer, they would want you to start working right away. Forget about waiting for H1 approval notice, they are unlikely to wait even for the receipt notice. It would be illegal to work on H4 even if you have the receipt notice in your hands for H4 to H1 transfer.

    However, they would want you to work, so that you can start generating the revenue for the company. (hey, it costs money to do your transfer and money doesnt grow on trees). And who's gonna know. Once you are a willing participant in this, you are not going to report it, they are not going to report it and the client (your project location) would not even know the difference between H1 and H4. And ICE has its hands full in busting illegals working in meat packing plants.

    Now, that is not all. In order to cover up the fact that you were working (and on their payroll) while in H4 without waiting for H1 approval, they may pay you in checks other than payroll checks. Either as an expense check or something else(cash, money order etc). There is another law they are breaking in the process of covering up the immigration law violation. The tax laws. By not paying you on a regular payroll, they cannot deduct your income tax and the employer's payroll tax. So it would be "Off the books".

    Anyways, clarify with them that you will not work until you see the original approval of I-797 in your hands. That way, you wont be dragged into this mud.
    -------------------------------------------
    PS
    I am not advocating that anyone break any laws. I am just stating what I have known from this industry and the usual practices so that people can avoid getting into situations where they unknowingly break the laws due to their employers' greed. Also, I am not denigrating Desis or desi companies, I am myself an Indian.





    supernova
    04-06 08:37 PM
    I know a person who was sent back; IO called the end client to verify his employment and asked if they could hire american worker instead, when the employer said they could, IO sent him back. I think they are only going after H1's working for smaller consulting companies.

    You may write it off as a rumor, so be it, but IV needs to step in and take necessary action.



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